As 2025 draws to a close, the former president's supportive stance towards digital currency has failed to suffice to support the industry’s gains, previously the driver behind broad hope and enthusiasm. The final quarter of 2025 have seen roughly $1 trillion in value erased from the digital asset market, despite bitcoin reaching an all-time-high price of $126,000 in early October.
The October price peak proved temporary. The flagship cryptocurrency's value tumbled just days later following an announcement of 100% tariffs on China sent shockwaves across the market in mid-October. Digital asset markets saw a staggering $19 billion liquidated in 24 hours – a record-setting liquidation event on record. Ethereum, endured a 40% drop in price in the subsequent weeks.
The industry was delivered the pro-bitcoin president it had anticipated during the campaign. Shortly after inauguration, a presidential directive was signed that repealed limitations against digital assets while enacting business-friendly rules as well as a federal task force on digital assets.
“The digital asset industry plays a crucial role for technological progress and economic development in the United States, as well as our Nation’s international leadership,” the order read.
Later in March, the announcement of a digital asset reserve sparked a notable rally in the market, with values of select named coins jumping more than sixty percent. The leading cryptocurrency went up ten percent in the hours following the was announced.
Cryptocurrency reacts strongly to both narratives and confidence in global markets, said an industry expert. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an asset that does better when investors are feeling confident about the economy and are ready to take on more risk.
“The administration may be pro-crypto, however, trade wars and rising interest rates outweigh favorable rhetoric,” the analyst added. “And it’s also a stark reminder, particularly to those in the sector, that broader economic factors really matter more than political support.”
In November, BTC suffered its biggest drop in price in several years, bringing the coin’s value below $81,000. While it recovered a portion of the losses subsequently, the start of the final month with a fresh downturn, a 6% drop following a leading bitcoin holder cutting its earnings forecast due to falling digital asset values. Its value now hovers near $90,000.
Market observers fear the sector is entering a so-called a prolonged bear market, a period of stagnation or losses. The last such downturn lasted from the end of 2021 into 2023. Those years saw bitcoin slump approximately 70% in price.
“The recent crash does not reflect a shift in sentiment, but a collision of three structural factors: the lingering effects of a $19bn deleveraging event; investors fleeing risk driven by geopolitical trade disputes; and, importantly, the possible unwinding of the corporate treasury trade,” stated a lab founder.
An additional element impacting digital assets is the decline in values of AI stocks. “One of the reasons for the link to tech stocks is that many bitcoin miners have shifted their energy towards AI data centers,” an expert said. “That negative sentiment often spills over into the crypto space.”
Despite concerns over a crypto winter, notable players in the crypto space voiced confidence in the future worth of Bitcoin. One executive said “there was no chance” Bitcoin's value would hit zero and in fact 2025 will be remembered as the year “where digital assets transitioned from a fringe market to a mainstream institution”. Another noted growing investment from institutional investors.
Analysts suggest the current decline is not inconsistent with historical four-year bitcoin cycles , adding that a much more sustained crypto winter is not a certainty.
“If I was looking of a standard market cycle, we are technically in a bear market,” came the assessment. “However, it's clear, even with all of these macros that are affecting the market, bitcoin has still managed to maintain a level well above eighty thousand dollars.”
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